Шрифт:
336. См.: The Signs of the Times Vol. VI, No. 17 (December 13, 1843): p. 144 (courtesy of Adventist Digital Library); и Dick, William Miller and the Advent Crisis 1831–1844, p, 121.
337. См.: Knight, p. 218–219.
338. См.: Louis Boutelle, Sketch of the Life and Religious Experience of Eld. Louis Boutelle (Boston: Advent Christian Publication Society, 1891), p. 67–68.
339. См.: William Lloyd Garrison, The Letters of William Lloyd Garrison, Walter M. Merrill, Ed. (Cambridge: Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, 1973), 111:137; и Ira V. Brown, “The Millerites and the Boston Press,” The New England Quarterly Vol. 16, No. 4 (December 1943): p. 599.
340. Cм.: Dick, William Miller and the Advent Crisis 1831–1844, p. 161.
341. См.: Rowe, Thunder and Trumpets, p. 141–147.
342. См.: Knight, p. 219–241.
343. См.: Jonathan M. Butler and Ronald L. Numbers, Introduction, in Ronald L. Numbers and Jonathan M. Butler, Eds., The Disappointed (Bloomington and Indianapolis: Indiana University Press, 1987), xv; и Doan, p. 203–204.
344. О мнении Фестингера по поводу миллеритов: Festinger et al., When Prophecy Fails, p. 11–23.
345. См.: Ernest Sandeen, The Roots of Fundamentalism (Grand Rapids, MI: Baker Book House, 1970), p. 54–55.
Глава 6
346. См.: Bagehot, p. 158.
347. См.: Martin Gilbert, Winston S. Churchill (Boston: Houghton Mifflin Company, 1977), V: p. 333–351, quote 350.
348. См.: Liaquat Ahamed, Lords of Finance (New York: Penguin, 2009), p. 231.
349. См.: H. Clark Johnson, Gold, France, and the Great Depression, 1919–1932 (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 1997), p. 141; также см. Federal Reserve Bulletin, April 1926, p. 270–271.
350. Cм.: Benjamin M. Blau et al., “Gambling Preferences, Options Markets, and Volatility,” Journal of Quantitative and Financial Analysis Vol. 51, No. 2 (April 2016): p. 515–540.
351. См.: Hyman Minksy, “The financial-instability hypothesis: capitalist processes and the behavior of the economy,” in Charles P. Kindleberger and Jean-Pierre Laffargue, Eds., Financial crises (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 1982), p. 13–39.
352. См.: William J. Bernstein, The Birth of Plenty, p. 101–106.
353. Чрезвычайно яркое описание схемы: Frederick Lewis Allen, The Lords of Creation (Chicago: Quadrangle Paperbacks, 1966), p. 305–306.
354. См.:32, дата обращения 30.03.2016.
355. См.: Minsky, p. 13–39.
356. См.: Floris Heukelom, “Measurement and Decision Making at the University of Michigan in the 1950s and 1960s,” Nijmegen Center for Economics, Institute for Management Research, Radboud University, Nijmegen, 2009,publish/pages/516298/nice_09102.pdf, дата обращения 18.07.2016.
357. См.: Malcolm Gladwell, David and Goliath (New York: Little, Brown and Company, 2013), p. 103.
358. См.: Daniel Kahneman, Thinking, Fast and Slow (New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2013), p. 4–7.
359. См.: Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman, “Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases,” Science Vol. 185, No. 4157 (September 27, 1974), p. 1124.
360. Там же, 1130.
361. Чаще всего ссылаются на статью Канемана и Тверски «Суждение при неопределенности». Также см. работы этих авторов: “Availability: A Heuristic for Judging Frequency and Probability,” Cognitive Psychology Vol. 5 (1973): p. 207–232; “Belief in the Law of Small Numbers,” Psychological Bulletin Vol. 76, No. 2 (1971): p. 105–110; “Subjective Probability: A Judgment of Representativeness,” Cognitive Psychology Vol. 3 (1972): p. 430–454; “On the Psychology of Prediction,” Psychological Review Vol. 80, No. 4 (July 1973): p. 237–251; “On the study of statistical intuitions,” Cognition Vol. 11 (1982): p. 123–141; and “Intuitive Prediction: Biases and Corrective Procedures,” Advances in Decision Technology, Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, 1977.
362. О жертвах применения огнестрельного оружия см.:о жертвах аварий:о наркотиках: https://www.cdc.gov/drugoverdose/.
363. С 2005 по 2019 год террористы убили 250 израильтян, то есть приблизительно пятнадцать человек в год, а только в 2018 году в дорожных авариях погибло 315 человек (см.:и– the-first-time-in-5-years/).
364. В 1925 году в США насчитывалось 20 000 000 автомобилей при населении в 116 миллионов человек; см.:vehicle_registrations.html, дата обращения 18.07.2016.
365. См.: Allen, The Lords of Creation, p. 235–236.
366. См.: John Kenneth Galbraith, A Short History of Financial Euphoria (Knoxville, TN: Whittle Direct Books, 1990), p. 16.
367. См.: Galbraith, The Great Crash 1929 (Boston: Houghton Mifflin Company, 1988), p. 22.
368. См.: K. Geert Rouwenhorst, “The Origins of Mutual Funds,” in The Origins of Value, William N. Goetzmann and K. Geert Rouwenhorst, Eds. (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2005), p. 249.
369. См.: Galbraith, The Great Crash 1929, p. 47.